Unreal demand? Irregular sales worth billions fire up wild NFT market

Unreal demand? Irregular sales worth billions fire up wild NFT market

by Joseph Anthony
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On Jan. 12, an image of a computer-generated pixelated person was sold for about $50.6 million worth of cryptocurrency on a new online marketplace that caters for non-fungible tokens.

It gets stranger.
Five minutes later, the same โ€œMeebitโ€ NFT โ€“ a virtual character clad in purple shorts and green sneakers โ€“ was sold back from the buyer to the original seller for around $49.6 million.
Confused? Welcome to the weird and wild world of NFTs, a new breed of crypto assets that represent digital items, from images and videos to clothing for avatars. They have exploded in popularity over the past year as part of a fledgling and largely unregulated economy for the much-hyped metaverse.
The Meebit, which can be used as a profile picture, was exchanged between two cryptocurrency wallets โ€“ which are anonymous. Although the underlying blockchain technology creates a public record when an NFT is sold, it doesnโ€™t record the names of those involved. A person can own multiple wallets, acting as both buyer and seller in a trade.
The digital character was among dozens of NFTs on the LooksRare marketplace that were sold back and forth between a small number of wallets in quick succession for unusually high prices last month, according to a Reuters review of publicly available blockchain records.
Since Jan. 11, for example, another Meebit NFT โ€“ this one with a sporty outfit and ponytail โ€“ has been passed between three wallets in over 100 sales, mostly in the $3-15 million range. In the week of Jan. 12-19, a โ€œLootโ€ bag NFT, representing virtual equipment for online adventure games, was exchanged across 75 sales between two other wallets, for $30,000-$800,000 a time.
The activity has helped LooksRare generate at least $10.8 billion in trading volume since it launched in early January, according to data provided by market tracker DappRadar.
The top 27 most expensive recorded sales across the whole NFT industry in January, totalling $1.3 billion, came from just two wallets transacting on LooksRare, according to DappRadar data as of Jan. 31, while the top 100 sales, worth $2.3 billion, came from 16 wallets trading on the platform.
โ€œThere is a lot of activity happening between a couple of wallets โ€“ letโ€™s say wallet one selling to wallet two, and then wallet two reselling it,โ€ said Modesta Masoit, DappRadarโ€™s finance and research director. โ€œItโ€™s quite likely that this is not real demand, that these trades are not organic.โ€
DappRadar and CryptoSlam, another data provider that reported artificially inflated volumes on LooksRare, said such trades could be linked to the platformโ€™s reward structure โ€“ though Masoit added there was also โ€œrealโ€ activity on the site.
LooksRare describes itself as โ€œthe community-first NFT marketplace with rewards for participatingโ€, referring to its reward system which includes awarding tokens to the dayโ€™s traders based on the proportion of overall sales volumes they were responsible for.

These tokens, called LOOKS, can then be used in a process called โ€œstakingโ€ to claim a slice of the platformโ€™s revenue from the 2 per cent fee charged on all trades, according to a LooksRare spokesperson.

Asked about the transactions reviewed by Reuters and whether the trades artificially boosted trading volumes, the spokesperson said that such practices were highly risky, as traders would have to pay transaction costs that they were not guaranteed to recoup.
Traders donโ€™t know until the dayโ€™s close whether they have transacted enough to win LOOKS tokens, or how many, because they donโ€™t know what others have traded.
The spokesperson added that LooksRare had a structure that was designed to reduce the profitability of LOOKS โ€œyield farmingโ€ in the long-term.
โ€œThe LOOKS staking rewards system is the tokenโ€™s core reward structure, whereby 100 per cent of trading fees are earned by LOOKS stakers. This fosters a community of users and token stakers who share the common goal of making the platform the best it can be,โ€ the spokesperson said.
โ€˜BYE BYE WASH TRADERSโ€™
Nonetheless, the trading activity provides a window into the nebulous and speculative nature of the NFT industry, which attracted $25 billion worth of sales volume in 2021.
The buzz around this new market has been buoyed by art collectibles like CryptoPunks and Bored Apes, algorithmically generated portraits that can sell for millions of dollars. They have gained celebrity traction, with socialite Paris Hilton and TV host Jimmy Fallon recently showing off their Bored Apes.
Several big companies, from Coca-Cola to Gucci, are testing the temperature with their own NFTs. In the art world, meanwhile, just over $1 in every $20 of revenue at top auction houses last year came from NFTs.
John Egan, CEO of Lโ€™Atelier, the technology research arm of BNP Paribas, characterised the transactions on LooksRare reviewed by Reuters as โ€œwash tradesโ€ that would be banned in traditional markets like equities or debt because they give a false impression of demand for an asset.
Yet such transactions are not illegal in this nascent industry because there are no equivalent rules governing NFTs, two crypto legal experts told Reuters.
Egan added that LooksRare was โ€œnot in itself culpableโ€ for the trades. โ€œIt is a marketing incentive,โ€ he said. โ€œLooksRare are effectively paying large investors to use their site, drawing a lot of attention and new users in the process.โ€
For the platformโ€™s supporters, this may be a sound strategy to thrive in a virtual gold rush, as tech giants like Meta and Microsoft spend billions of dollars to further their owns visions of the metaverse and pave the way for future profits.
Bumper activity in January meant LooksRare overtook four-year-old market leader OpenSea to become the biggest NFT marketplace by monthly volume, despite having fewer than 3,500 traders per day, compared with OpenSeaโ€™s 57,000 to 90,000, according to DappRadar data.
OpenSea did not respond to a Reuters request for comment for this article.
A Twitter user called โ€œdingalingโ€, who LooksRare told Reuters was an investor and adviser to the platform, wrote a thread on Jan. 12 saying wash trading on the platform looked bad but may be part of the โ€œnecessary stepsโ€ to gain market share and provide a more transparent, decentralized marketplace for the NFT community.
โ€œPeople have been real mad about wash trading, but Iโ€™m struggling to understand why. Itโ€™s a free market,โ€ dingaling added. โ€œOnce real volume takes over, itโ€™s bye bye to wash traders.โ€
MET IN MEATSPACE?
From a regulatory point of view, authorities worldwide are worried that the rise of crypto assets more broadly could undermine financial systems, promote crime and harm investors.
Efforts so far have been mostly focused on cryptocurrencies rather than NFTs, which throw up new issues such as how they should be classified, since they are one-off โ€“ non-fungible โ€“ and highly diverse in nature.
โ€œGenerally speaking, the majority of jurisdictions recognise that NFTs should not be regulated as financial products if each NFT represents a genuinely unique item โ€“ for example, a unique collectible, piece of art or piece of media content,โ€ said Hagen Rooke, a partner at global law firm Reed Smith.
Traditional authorities may also need to bridge a cultural gap.
LooksRareโ€™s founders are identified only by the pseudonyms Guts and Zodd. The spokesperson described them as โ€œNFT nerdsโ€ and said the platformโ€™s team was spread across different timezones and have mostly โ€œnever even met each other in meatspaceโ€.
Meatspace is a term used by internet enthusiasts to refer to the physical world.
One frequent NFT trader known as โ€œRizzleโ€, who mainly uses OpenSea, is among the big players in the market drawn to LooksRare by its reward model.
Rizzle first joined LooksRare after receiving some free LOOKS tokens, which he staked for profit, and since then he has used the marketplace for trading because he said he likes some of the features.
โ€œI would not be surprised to see other platforms pop up with even greater initial incentives to try and capture this same audience,โ€ he said.
REUTERS

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